gt1 wrote:This is an optimistic prediction. I believe the cancellations will be massive. Why get an expensive Corolla size car when the gas is cheap?
I don't think that current gas prices are going to play that large of a factor in the Tesla purchases... or even with many electric car buyers.
People are starting to wise up. The whole "but it is cheap right now" argument. This is no longer enough for people because they know gas prices are just going to shoot back up again.
In my area, I am watching it rise every single day. And when it drops the price never drops as low as the last lowest time.
People aren't that dumb. They aren't going to keep getting fooled.
Plus, for most people that I know who own Tesla's, it is more about owning a Tesla, then it is anything else. They want to be a part of what Musk is doing. They want to be on the cutting edge. They want an American car, but they want it to be good. And they want something a little more exclusive.
Even the more expensive price I don't think is going to get most of the people that preordered to back out. I mean people bought the S and the X, and even all the Roasters. There are enough people with money. And more than enough people who want to spend that money on a Tesla.
I was in a Tesla store just the other day, and there was a guy sitting there with a sales rep, desperately trying to figure out how to get a loan so that he could have enough just to lease an S.
The buying decision of these cars is not going to rely on rationality as much as it is the desire for perceived status.